Tag Archives: Inflation
inflation
US PCE inflation rises to 3.8% as April data fuels higher-for-longer Fed outlook
April PCE inflation re-accelerated to 3.8% y/y, boosting “higher-for-longer” fears, volatility, and dollar-supporting rate-hike odds.
US continuing jobless claims edge up to 1.786m, bolstering case for a more dovish Fed
Continuing jobless claims edged above forecasts, hinting softer labor market, cooling momentum, and increasing rate-cut expectations.
US GDP Price Index Eases to 3.5% as Markets Recalibrate Fed Pause Odds
US GDP price index eases to 3.5%, signaling cooling inflation, boosting pause expectations and risk-asset positioning opportunities.
US core PCE surprise reinforces higher-for-longer Fed stance, pressuring equities and boosting dollar
US core PCE hits 4.4% in Q1, boosting “higher-for-longer” Fed bets; equities pressured, volatility and dollar rise.
US core PCE eases to 3.6% as Fed rate-cut odds slip and volatility risks build
PCE inflation matched forecasts; May core dipped slightly, Fed stays cautious, volatility opportunities emerge amid inverted yield curve.
US PCE Inflation Holds at 4.5% in Q1 as Markets Weigh June Fed Rate Move
US Q1 PCE inflation held at 4.5%, keeping Fed hike odds elevated and boosting option-volatility trading.
Euro slips as Iran tensions lift oil, with US PCE and ECB outlook set to trigger breakout
Euro slips amid Iran tensions and higher oil; ECB hike supports, while US PCE may trigger breakout.
ECB minutes flag persistent inflation risks as rate rise debate intensifies, euro edges lower
ECB minutes flag persistent energy-driven inflation risks, close-call rate debate, growth concerns, boosting euro volatility opportunities.
Sterling slips as Hormuz tensions lift dollar ahead of US PCE; GBP/USD tests key supports
GBP/USD slips near 1.3400 as Hormuz tensions and firm PCE expectations boost dollar, pressuring sterling.
TD Securities brings forward July RBNZ rate hike call, still expects four 25bp moves
TD Securities now expects the RBNZ to hike in July, projecting four 25bp moves, capped near 3.50%.
