Tag Archives: Policy

policy

Fed’s Cook backs steady rates, flags inflation upside risks and AI-led labour market uncertainty

Fed’s Cook urges steady rates; inflation risks persist; hikes possible, cuts if jobs weaken; volatility trades favored.

US five-year Treasury auction yield jumps to 4.182%, fuelling higher-for-longer rate outlook

Treasury 5-year auction yield jumps to 4.182%, signaling higher borrowing costs, inflation concerns, reduced Fed cut expectations.

Canada’s rising jobless rate masks retirement-driven labour squeeze, complicating Bank of Canada rate-cut bets

Canada’s rising unemployment masks looming labor shortages from retirements and fewer young workers, pressuring wages, inflation.

Dollar steadies near 99 as Middle East tensions and PCE data steer Fed rate outlook

Dollar steady near 99 as Middle East tensions and Fed hike bets focus attention on PCE data.

Russia’s April industrial output beats forecasts, underpinning rouble carry appeal and steady commodity supply

Russia’s April industrial output rose 1.9%, beating forecasts, supporting ruble strength, steady commodities, and subdued equity volatility.

Richmond Fed Factory Gauge Surges in May, Complicating Summer Rate-Cut Bets

Richmond Fed manufacturing index jumped to 13 in May, beating forecasts, challenging rate-cut hopes and shifting positioning.

US Redbook hits 9% as consumer spending strengthens, keeping Federal Reserve wary on rate cuts

Redbook jumps to 9%, signaling resilient consumers, keeping Fed hawkish; consider retail calls, Treasury puts, VIX hedges.

Hungary Central Bank Holds at 6.25% as Dovish Tilt Drives June Cut Bets, Forint Support

Hungary’s central bank held rates at 6.25%, signalled dovishness, and markets priced June cut, forint strength.

Hungary’s MNB Holds at 6.25% as Forint Strength Bolsters Odds of Rate Cuts

MNB holds 6.25% amid inflation risks; strong forint and easing inflation open door to rate cuts.

Hungary’s MNB holds at 6.25% as firmer forint and easing inflation open door to cuts

MNB holds 6.25% as forint rallies; easing inflation and June projections may enable rate cuts soon.