Tag Archives: Economy

economy

Richmond Fed Factory Gauge Surges in May, Complicating Summer Rate-Cut Bets

Richmond Fed manufacturing index jumped to 13 in May, beating forecasts, challenging rate-cut hopes and shifting positioning.

US Redbook hits 9% as consumer spending strengthens, keeping Federal Reserve wary on rate cuts

Redbook jumps to 9%, signaling resilient consumers, keeping Fed hawkish; consider retail calls, Treasury puts, VIX hedges.

ADP Four-Week Employment Average Slips, Fueling Fed Rate-Cut Bets and Volatility Hedging

ADP four-week job growth slipped to 35.75K, signaling cooling labor momentum and boosting rate-cut expectations.

US mortgage applications slump as high borrowing costs squeeze housing demand and spur hedging strategies

U.S. MBA mortgage applications plunged to -8.5%, signaling housing stress, potential Fed dovish shift, and volatility hedges.

Italian Industrial Sales Surge Lifts Outlook for FTSE MIB, Raises BTP Yield Pressure

Italy’s industrial sales surged 4.4% in March, boosting equities outlook and pressing bond yields higher.

Canadian Dollar flat near 1.3810 as markets await US–Iran talks and Canada GDP data

Canadian dollar flat near 1.3810 as US–Iran talks and Canada GDP data drive USD/CAD volatility.

RBNZ Holds OCR at 2.25% as Markets Weigh Guidance, NZD Volatility and Downside Risks

RBNZ held the OCR at 2.25%, cooling NZD volatility; policy divergence may weaken NZD/USD and anchor rates.

Singapore Q1 GDP upgrade lifts outlook, yet USD/SGD stays rangebound amid global headwinds

Singapore Q1 GDP revised to 6.0%, but USD/SGD stays rangebound amid headwinds and resilient dollar.

Canadian dollar steady as USD/CAD stalls near 200-day average, Scotiabank flags fair value below

USD/CAD holds near 1.3800, stalling at 200-day MA; fair value 1.3672 suggests downside toward 1.3750.

Dallas Fed Factory Index Turns Positive, Boosting Cyclicals as Rate-Cut Bets Fade

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index turns positive in May, boosting cyclical stocks, supporting dollar, dampening volatility expectations.